If a company in your portfolio issues a profit warning should you sell, buy more or just stay invested?
That is exactly the question I asked myself after experiencing quite a few profit warnings recently. I wondered if there wasn�� a tested rule I could follow that for example says sell immediately after the profit warning is announced and buy the position back in a few months��time.
I decided to take a look at a research studies on profit warnings to see if there is not a strategy that will make you come out ahead.
The first, and most practical, study I found was a research note written in September 2008 by James Montier when he was still with Societe Generale called Maximum Pessimism, Profit Warnings and the Heat of the Moment.
The study was also published in James��excellent book called "Value Investing: Tools and Techniques for Intelligent Investment."
In the note James argues that humans are very bad at making decisions and procrastinate under pressure and thus it would be best if you have predetermined rules to help you make the best decision under pressure. And profit warnings are just such a high pressure situation. To find out what the best decision you can make James looked at 2004 study by G. Bulkley R. Harris and R. Herrerias from the University of Exeter called Stock Returns Following Profit Warnings: A Test of Models of Behavioural Finance.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: NetLogic Microsystems Inc.(NETL)
NetLogic Microsystems, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and sells processors and integrated circuits used in mobile wireless infrastructure, data center, enterprise, metro Ethernet, and edge and core infrastructure networks. Its product portfolio includes multi-core communications processors, knowledge-based processors, high-speed 10/40/100 gigabit Ethernet physical layer devices, network search engines, and ultra low-power embedded processors. These products are designed into various systems, such as switches, routers, wireless base stations, access aggregation, radio network controllers, security appliances, networked storage appliances, service gateways, and connected media devices offered by original equipment manufacturers. The company markets and sells its products through its direct sales force and distributors, as well as through independent sales representatives worldwide. NetLogic Microsystems, Inc. was fou nded in 1995 and is based in Santa Clara,, California.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Radware Ltd.(RDWR)
Radware Ltd. provides application delivery solutions and network security solutions to banks, insurance companies, manufacturing and retail, government agencies, media companies, and service providers worldwide. The company offers AppDirector Intelligent Application Delivery Controller for data center optimization and to eliminate traffic surges, server bottlenecks, connectivity disconnects, and downtime for business continuity; and Alteon Application Switch application delivery controller that supports local, global, and transparent load-balance, multi-homing network load-balance, and bandwidth management capabilities. It also provides AppXML, which offers XML and Web services communications for mission-critical applications; AppWall, a Web application firewall (WAF) appliance that secures Web applications; LinkProof that manages wide area networks and Internet traffic for networks; Content Inspection Director, a smart redirection and dynamic policy enforcement device to meet contemporary carrier needs; and Session Initiation Protocol Director, an application delivery controller for application vendors, telecom equipment manufacturers, and system integrators. In addition, the company offers DefensePro Intrusion Prevention and Denial of Service products that protect against worms, bots, viruses, malicious intrusions, and DOS attacks; Inflight, a hardware device that provides online and network-based monitoring solutions; and APSolute Vision, an appliance-based management and monitoring system for information technology staff to centrally manage distributed devices and check the performance and security of enterprise wide application delivery infrastructures. It markets and sells its products primarily through distributors and resellers in North America, Europe, and Asia, as well as directly to select customers in the United States. Radware Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Evan Niu, CFA]
Rival ADC vendor Radware (NASDAQ: RDWR ) also issued disappointing preliminary results this morning, with its own revenue projected at $45 million -- also below its guidance. Radware said sales were strong in the U.S. market but cited weakness in EMEA and China for its weakness.
- [By Evan Niu, CFA]
What: Shares of Radware (NASDAQ: RDWR ) have fallen by as much as 24% after the company announced disappointing preliminary earnings for the first quarter.
- [By Seth Jayson]
Radware (Nasdaq: RDWR ) reported earnings on July 25. Here are the numbers you need to know.
The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended June 30 (Q2), Radware met expectations on revenues and missed estimates on earnings per share.
Hot Heal Care Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Ktl Global Limited (EB7.SI)
KTL Global Limited, an investment holding company, supplies rigging equipment and related services to customers primarily in the offshore oil and gas, and marine and construction industries. The company�s products include wire rope for offshore, such as crane wire rope, pennant lines, towing bridles, and wire rope for pipe lay operations; and heavy lift slings and grommets consisting of cable laid slings and grommets, kimflex braided slings and grommets, and ultra short grommets. Its products also include rigging equipment, including shackles for specialized applications, blocks and sheaves, sockets and wire rope clips, hooks and swivels, and thimbles and turnbuckles; mooring systems comprising anchors and chains, deck equipment and machinery, and mooring equipment; and synthetic ropes, such as polypropylene, nylon, puget sound ropes, and composite ropes. It also provides kim track, magnetic rope testing, wire rope spooling, testing, inspection and certification, and wire rope lubrication services; KimLift rigging services; and delivery and project management, research projects, and technical training services. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Northamber(NAR.L)
Northamber plc engages in the distribution of information technology equipment in the United Kingdom. It supplies computer hardware, computer printers and peripheral products, computer telephony products, and other electronic transmission equipment. The company?s products include desktops and servers, portable computing devices, storage and memory products, monitors and projectors, printers and scanners, networking equipment, audio visual products, and personal computer build products, as well as software solutions. Northamber plc is headquartered in Chessington, the United Kingdom.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Blackbaud Inc.(BLKB)
Blackbaud, Inc. provides software and related services for nonprofit organizations. The company offers The Raiser?s Edge, a software application to manage constituent relationship management (CRM) and fundraising activity; Blackbaud CRM, a Web-based CRM solution that addresses the needs of mid-size, large, and federated chapter based nonprofit organizations; eTapestry, a software-as-a-service (SaaS) donor management and fundraising solution for smaller nonprofits; Blackbaud NetCommunity, an Internet marketing and communications tool to build interactive Websites and manage email marketing campaigns; Sphere eMarketing, a SaaS that provides applications to manage e-marketing, communications, programs, services, and online fundraising; Everyday Hero, an event-based online fundraising solution; and BlackbaudNow for developing an online presence and accepting online donations. It also provides The Financial Edge, an accounting application; The Education Edge, a student informa tion management system; Blackbaud?s Student Information System, which links student information across various campus offices, as well as organizes the admissions and registrar?s processes; and Blackbaud for Small Schools, a SaaS solution that helps schools with their registration process, as well as gives parents, students, and faculty an online access to school information. In addition, the company offers The Patron Edge, a ticketing management solution; Blackbaud Direct Marketing that helps in managing direct marketing campaigns with various media and channels; Sphere Friends Asking Friends software product to launch and manage online event fundraising Websites; and Altru, a SaaS solution that helps general admissions arts and cultural organizations in their operation. Further, it provides consulting and education, analytics, maintenance, and payment processing services. Blackbaud, Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Charleston, South Carolina.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Seth Jayson]
Blackbaud (Nasdaq: BLKB ) is expected to report Q1 earnings on May 1. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:
The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Blackbaud's revenues will expand 20.7% and EPS will expand 11.8%.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Redknee Solutions Inc (RKN.TO)
Redknee Solutions Inc. provides communication software products, solutions, and services to wireless, wireline, broadband, and satellite network operators. It offers Real-time Converged Billing, a cloud-enabled converged billing and customer care platform, which provides real-time unified billing, rating, and charging for the operator�s data, voice, and messaging services; customer care capabilities; subscriber promotions and loyalty programs; and self-care options for prepaid, postpaid, and hybrid subscribers. The company also provides Brand Challenger, a cloud-based end-to-end converged billing solution for mobile network operators, mobile virtual network enablers, and mobile virtual network operators. In addition, it offers Wholesale Settlement, an interconnect, wholesale, roaming, MVNO, franchise management, and content settlement software solution that provides operators with visibility into network transactions for achieving converged settlement and interconnect bil ling. Further, the company provides related hardware and services, including maintenance, support, and professional services, as well as learning, managed, and advisory services. It operates in North America, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company distributes its products and services through direct sales force and resellers. Redknee Solutions Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Novellus Systems Inc.(NVLS)
Novellus Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and supports equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits. The company operates in two segments, Semiconductor Group and Industrial Applications Group. The Semiconductor Group segment provides equipment used in wafer processing, advanced wafer-level packaging, and light-emitting diode (LED) manufacturing. Its deposition systems use chemical vapor deposition (CVD), physical vapor deposition (PVD), and electrochemical deposition (ECD) processes to form transistor, capacitor, and interconnect layers in an integrated circuit; and High-Density Plasma CVD (HDP-CVD) and Plasma-Enhanced CVD (PECVD) systems employ chemical plasma to deposit dielectric material within the gaps formed by the etching of aluminum, or as a blanket film that can be etched with patterns for depositing conductive materials into the etched dielectric. This segment?s CVD Tungsten systems are used to deposit co nductive contacts between transistors and interconnects; PVD systems are used to deposit conductive aluminum and copper metal layers by sputtering metal atoms; and Electrofil ECD systems are used for depositing copper to form the conductive wiring on integrated circuits using copper interconnects. The Industrial Applications Group segment provides grinding, lapping, and polishing equipment for fine-surface optimization. It offers products for use in the semiconductor and LED manufacturing, automotive, aerospace, medical, green energy, and glass and ceramics industries, as well as manufacturers of products, such as pumps, transmissions, compressors, and bearings. The company markets its products through direct sales force and manufacturer?s representatives primarily in Europe, the United States, Korea, Japan, China, Taiwan, and southeast Asia. Novellus Systems, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Oracle Corporation(ORCL)
Oracle Corporation, an enterprise software company, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and services database and middleware software, applications software, and hardware systems worldwide. It licenses of database and middleware software, including database management software, application server software, service-oriented architecture and business process management software, data integration software, business intelligence software, identity and access management software, content management software, portals and user interaction software, development tools, and Java; and applications software comprising enterprise resource planning, customer relationship management, enterprise performance management, supply chain management, business intelligence applications, enterprise portfolio project management, Web commerce, and industry-specific applications software. The company also offers customers with rights to unspecified software product upgrades and maintenance releases; Internet access to technical content; and Internet and telephone access to technical support personnel. In addition, its hardware systems products consist of computer server and hardware-related software, including the Oracle Solaris Operating System; and storage products, such as tape, disk and networking solutions for open systems and mainframe server environments. Its hardware systems support solutions include software updates for the software components. Further, the company offers consulting solutions in business and IT strategy alignment, enterprise architecture planning and design, initial product implementation and integration, and ongoing product enhancements and upgrades; cloud services, including Oracle Cloud Services and Advanced Customer Services; and education solutions comprising instructor-led, media-based, and Internet-based training in the use of its software and hardware products. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Redwood Ci ty, California.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Anders Bylund]
This week, Oracle (NYSE: ORCL ) found and patched a huge amount of security holes in its Java plugin for Web browsers. While it's never a bad idea to plug security holes, the update comes after a well-documented spree of Java hacks.
- [By Jeff Reeves]
To be clear, it�� not just IBM swimming upstream right now. Enterprise spending has been tough for everyone from Accenture (ACN) to Oracle (ORCL), and the current government shutdown and looming debt ceiling debacle aren�� making businesses any more eager to spend big in Q4.
- [By Keith Speights]
Quality Software Services, which is owned by UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH ) , was the contractor to which Campbell alluded. However, a key link in the component that Quality Software Services developed came from Oracle (NYSE: ORCL ) . Early finger-pointing suggested that the Oracle Identity Manager was a cause of the major technical problems. That prompted Oracle to strongly deny that its software wasn't working.
Top 10 Tech Companies To Own For 2015: Loral Space and Communications Inc.(LORL)
Loral Space & Communications Inc. operates as a satellite communications company. The company?s Satellite Manufacturing segment designs and manufactures satellites, space systems, and components used for fixed satellite services, direct-to-home (DTH) broadcasting, mobile satellite services, broadband data distribution, wireless telephony, digital radio, digital mobile broadcasting, military communications, weather monitoring, and air traffic management applications in commercial and government sectors. Loral Space & Communications Inc.?s Satellite Services segment provides broadcast, enterprise, and consulting services. This segment owns and leases a satellite fleet that provides high-bandwidth services to broadcasters, cable networks, and DTH service providers. It also offers satellite transmission services for the broadcast of news, sports, and live events coverage enabling broadcasters to conduct on-the-scene transmissions. In addition, this segment operates very smal l aperture terminal (VSAT) networks in North America, and manages various VSAT terminals at customer sites, as well as provides the installation and maintenance of the end user terminal, the VSAT hub, and satellite capacity services. Further, it offers Internet protocol-based terrestrial extension services; Ka-band two-way broadband Internet services; satellite capacity and end-to-end services for data and voice transmission to telecommunications carriers; fixed satellite services to the United States and Canadian governments; and satellite consulting services. The company also owns and operates an X-band satellite, which provides X-band communications services to government users. As of December 31, 2011, it had 12 in-orbit satellites and 2 satellites under construction. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, Australia, Latin America, and Caribbean. Loral Space & Communications Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
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